This Article Full Text (PDF) References Alert me when this article is cited Alert me if a correction is posted Services Email this article to a friend Similar articles in this journal Similar articles in PubMed Alert me to new issues of the journal Add to Saved Citations Download to citation manager Request Permissions Request Reprints Add to My Marked Citations Citing Articles Citing Articles via Google Scholar Citing Articles via Scopus Google Scholar Articles by Lipkus, I. Articles by Shepperd, J. Search for Related Content PubMed PubMed Citation Articles by Lipkus, I. Articles by Shepperd, J. Pubmed/NCBI databases Medline Plus Health Information Quitting Smoking Smoking Smoking and Youth Social Bookmarking                         What's this?

College Smokers' Estimates of Their Probabilities of Remaining a Smoker in the Near Future

Duke University School of Nursing, USA, Isaac.Lipkus{at}Duke.edu

James Shepperd

University of Florida, USA

Community college and university smokers (N = 662) estimated their probability (0% to 100%) of remaining a smoker one and six months later and reported their confidence in their estimates. Smoking status was assessed at each time point. Analyses controlled for several correlates of both smoking status and probability estimates of remaining a smoker. Estimates of smoking status interacted with confidence to predict smoking status at one month, but only estimates predicted smoking status at six months. Findings suggest that: 1) personal estimate of future smoking status is a unique correlate of continued smoking; and 2) confidence in personal estimates is a strong moderator for short-term projections of smoking status.

Key Words: confidence • probability judgments • smoking

Journal of Health Psychology, Vol. 14, No. 4, 547-555 (2009)
DOI: 10.1177/1359105309103574


CiteULike    Complore    Connotea    Del.icio.us    Digg    Reddit    Technorati    Twitter    What's this?